Publications
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Small-World Networks, Dynamics and Proximity in Investment Decisions
Using deal-level micro data from the Dealroom database, we construct a dynamic co-investment syndication network to examine the influence of… Show more cultural proximity and geospatial proximity between investors and start-ups, as well as the network position of global VC firms on investment decisions in European-based start-ups. By applying a linear probability regression model with high-dimensional fixed effects over the period 2015-2022, we confirm that both cultural and spatial proximity significantly facilitate VC investment. Moreover, our analysis reveals that a prominent network position — characterized by how well-connected (degree centrality) and how influential (Katz centrality) within the co-investment network— substantially enhances VC investments on account of the facilitated sharing of information, contacts, and resources among investors. Furthermore, our findings reveal that small-world networks, characterized by high clustering coefficients, facilitate investments in distant start-ups, helping to overcome spatial constraints—an aspect largely overlooked in the literature. Small-world syndication networks foster trust among members, complementing each other through differentiation and specialization in industrial knowledge and local markets, potentially altering risk-averse behaviour and enabling investments that transcend geographical boundaries. Show less
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Economic complexity analytics: country factsheets 2024
The economic complexity framework is inspired by evolutionary and institutional literature. It interprets the economy as an interconnected ecosystem by… Show more shifting the focus from aggregate quantities like GDP that reveal how much countries or regions produce to a more granular view revealing what they actually do (e.g. in which products they export or the in which technologies they innovate). This approach leverages high-quality trade and patent data as well as advanced techniques from machine learning, network science, and complex dynamical systems to provide a nuanced understanding of a country's economic sophistication and capabilities. These factsheets aim to showcase the potential of the economic complexity framework by providing quantitative insights into policy-relevant issues and to illustrate the kind of insights it can offer policymakers regarding the industrial and innovation landscape of Europe. Each factsheet focuses one EU member state and follows a fixed structure comprising six sections, each consisting of a chart and some accompanying text to aid interpretation. Overall, the factsheets aim to provide a comprehensive overview of the analytical potential of the economic complexity framework, demonstrating its value in informing policy decisions and contributing to economic development. They highlight the importance of understanding the intricate dynamics of industrial and innovation systems to drive strategic economic growth in the EU. Show less
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Global Value Chain analysis of the EU automotive sector under the lens of Economic Complexity
This policy brief investigates the structural vulnerabilities and competitive dynamics of the EU27 automotive sector, with a focus on the… Show more complexity and the fragmentation of production processes across global value chains. The analysis integrates input-output tables to quantify the automotive sector's reliance on non-EU economic branches, alongside an economic complexity framework to assess the underlying productive capabilities of European countries in automotive-related industries. The findings indicate an increasing dependency on extra-EU suppliers, particularly China, for critical components such as lithium-ion batteries, which heightens supply chain risks. Currently, Eastern European countries-most notably Poland, Czechia, and Hungary-have enhanced their competitiveness in the production of automotive components, surpassing traditional leaders such as Germany. The policy brief offers new insights into the challenges posed by the ongoing electric mobility transition in the European Union, particularly in relation to electric accumulators. Show less
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The effects of intangibles on productivity and resilience during the green transition
Intangible capital is a key driver of productivity growth, competitiveness and resilience. Unlike tangible investment such as machinery and equipment,… Show more investment in intangible assets, especially R&D, shows low sensitivity to adverse demand shocks. R&D intensive firms seem to be more resilient (higher employment) during crises and recover faster (higher productivity) afterwards. Productivity growth can contribute to decarbonisation, but in many instances productivity growth and decarbonisation lead to conflicting objectives, which needs to be addressed through policy action. Show less
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The exposure of EU inventive efforts to critical raw materials: evidence from an AI based patent indicator
Reducing uncertainty around critical raw materials (CRM) supply is a policy priority for the EU in view of their role… Show more for advanced carbon neutral and digital technologies. A new, AI based indicator is introduced to measure the exposure of inventive activities to critical raw materials, outperforming existing approaches by identifying CRM relevance even when not immediately evident. High exposure sectors, such as aerospace & defence and ICT services, intensify inventive efforts in response to CRM supply risk, indicating strategic shifts towards substitution and diversification. European regions differ significantly in CRM exposure: some areas (e.g. parts of France, Germany, Italy, and Scandinavia) show con-siderable hidden CRM based inventive activity. Firms in CRM exposed sectors adapt by both increasing their inventive efforts and seeking alternative inventive routes, suggesting that innovation can mitigate supply risk vulnerabilities. Show less
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R&D productivity: are ideas harder to find or does Europe suffer from a commercialisation gap?
It has been a long-standing debate whether Europe suffers from an innovation gap. Recent studies indicate a global decline in… Show more research and development (R&D) productivity across various sectors, raising concerns about the efficiency of innovation investments. New panel data from the EU Industrial R&D Investment Scoreboard allow examining long-term relationships between firm productivity and R&D. The results show that EU top R&D investors struggle more than their global counterparts to convert their R&D into new ideas and marketable products. Show less
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Financing EU Health Innovation: the role of Venture Capital
The EU is challenged by a persistent leadership gap in the global health innovation landscape, with the US leading in… Show more corporate health innovation and venture capital (VC) funding. The EU health innovation landscape is more concentrated in older "incumbent leading firms," while the US has a more dynamic landscape with higher R&D growth rates. Financing constraints are highly relevant in the health sector, particularly for startups and scale-ups with risky breakthrough ideas and technologies. The EU-US gap in dynamic innovative performance in health may be partly due to differences in access to risk finance, particularly venture capital. This paper analyzes trends in VC financing for health-related innovations in Europe compared to the US, using data from Dealroom. The results show that the weakness of the European health VC market continues to hold in the early and late stages, where less progress seems to have been made. Some of the main findings include the following: the EU is lagging behind the US in the number of health VC deals, with a larger gap in late-stage deals; European deal sizes are below the US, with a larger gap in late-stage deals, the EU has a lower occurrence of co-investment deals, which does not help reduce the gap in health VC deals. Overall, the European health VC market is particularly missing larger-sized investors (investment funds) with late-stage deals. To address this gap, policy attention is needed to identify and reduce barriers for European health VC investors to grow to a critical scale and engage in a higher number and larger-sized deals. All in all, Europe should further develop and strengthen its strongest asset, i.e., its Open Single Market, reducing the fragmentation in flows of venture capital, reaching a truly single European Venture Capital market. For an EU open strategic autonomy industrial policy for health, an open single market for health remains the critical instrument to further develop and monitor. Show less
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Handbook of Economic Complexity for Policy
This handbook collects JRC’s six years of experience on economic complexity for policy. It is a tool for practitioners who… Show more aim at understanding the methods of complexity from data collection to policy recommendations. After introducing the reader to this innovative unconventional approach, the volume articulates methods and analysis in three parts. First: data. Chapters 2, 3, and 4 describe the datasets that are most commonly used for economic complexity analysis, with a deep dive in trade, patents, and scientific publications, which have played a greater role in JRC’s research. Second: methods. This second part shows how to use the available data for analysis. Most notably, it describes in great detail how to compute fitness and complexity indices, as well as relatedness metrics. Third: policy. The final part of this handbook collects policy work - mainly from the JRC - to show how the methods can be put into practice. Show less
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The impact of the EU Industrial R&D Investment Scoreboard in Science and Policy
Understanding the flow of knowledge between scientific research and policymaking is increasingly important. This study examines the influence of the… Show more EU Industrial R&D Investment Scoreboard, which has been active at the science-policy interface since 2004. We analyse citation trends in scientific publications and policy documents to assess the Scoreboard’s usage, impact, and reach. Our findings indicate that the Scoreboard is cited more frequently in policy documents, though academic interest is growing. Policy documents cite the Scoreboard more quickly, reflecting its immediate relevance for policy actors, while scientific publications take longer to cite it and utilise its data. Papers citing the Scoreboard tend to have a higher citation impact than average, underscoring its significance in a broad set of research fields. In our citation content analysis, we find that "insight" citations are more common than "data" citations. However, papers combining patent data and Scoreboard tend to receive more citations, highlighting the value of integrating R&D data with other relevant variables to better understand the innovation process. Additionally, we show that the Scoreboard has influenced EU policy discourse to address the need for structural changes towards high R&D intensity sectors, and showing EU’s strengths in green innovation. Show less
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PDF Corporate Venture Capital in the Automotive Sector
The ongoing transformation of the automotive sector is in part driven by factors such as the unrelenting onslaught of electric/hybrid… Show more powertrain technologies, in-vehicle and networked software applications, rising demand for electric vehicles, and the emergence of new entrants like Tesla and others notably in China. The response of automotive firms to these challenges includes, inter alia, Open Innovation (OI) tools and strategies of which Corporate Venture Capital (CVC) is one element. CVC investments by large automotive companies are globally spread, but there is a clear concentration of these investments in the US, particularly in California. The vast majority of CVC investments in startups are made in conjunction with other co-investors, reflecting the high-risk nature of the innovative technologies being developed. Newcomers to the automotive industry, such as Tesla and BYD, are primarily beneficiaries of venture capital financing, including corporate VC, rather than themselves engaging in venture financing. Despite a drop in CVC in 2023, the rising trend in automotive CVC may return over the medium to long term, driven by increasing startup activity in automotive-relevant areas. Show less